How to Analyze STR Market Trends Before Purchasing a Property

Investing in short-term rental (STR) properties can be a lucrative endeavor, but success hinges on a keen understanding of the market. Before committing to a property, you must analyze current trends and assess potential profitability. Here’s a guide on how to evaluate STR market trends to ensure an informed investment decision.


1. Research Local Market Performance

The first step is to understand the performance of the STR market in your target area. Analyze data such as:

  • Occupancy Rates: Consistently high occupancy rates suggest strong demand. Platforms like AirDNA and Mashvisor provide insights into occupancy trends for specific neighborhoods.
  • Average Daily Rates (ADR): Determine how much properties in the area are earning per night. Compare ADRs across different property types to identify profitable options.
  • Seasonality: Check for fluctuations in demand based on seasons, holidays, or events. A property in a seasonal location might require a higher ADR to make up for off-peak months.

2. Identify Target Guest Demographics

Knowing who your potential guests are is crucial for purchasing the right property. Ask these questions:

  • Who is visiting the area? Families, solo travelers, digital nomads, or business professionals?
  • What amenities do they prioritize? For instance, business travelers may value fast Wi-Fi, while families look for kid-friendly features.
  • Why are they visiting? Is the location popular for leisure, business, or events?

Research through local tourism boards, event calendars, and STR platforms to understand what drives visitors to the area.


3. Evaluate Competition

Understanding your competition helps you position your property effectively. Investigate these aspects:

  • Density of Listings: High density could indicate saturation, while areas with fewer STRs might offer less competition but also less demand.
  • Property Reviews: Analyze guest reviews for similar properties to see what competitors are doing well and where they fall short.
  • Price Trends: Compare the pricing strategies of similar listings. Note how competitors adjust prices during peak and off-peak times.

A competitive analysis will help you identify gaps in the market, such as unfulfilled demand for luxury stays, pet-friendly accommodations, or eco-conscious properties.


STR markets are often shaped by local laws and regulations. Failing to account for these factors could lead to financial or operational setbacks. Check:

  • Permitting Requirements: Some cities require licenses or permits to operate STRs legally.
  • Zoning Laws: Ensure the property is in a zone where STRs are permitted.
  • Tax Policies: Research local transient occupancy taxes and other fees that might affect your revenue.
  • Restrictions: Some areas have limits on the number of nights a property can be rented annually or prohibit STRs altogether.

Resources like local government websites and STR advocacy groups can provide up-to-date information.


5. Assess Economic Indicators

Economic factors can influence STR profitability. Consider:

  • Tourism Trends: Look for data on visitor numbers and spending patterns in the area. A growing tourism market often correlates with STR demand.
  • Employment and Infrastructure Growth: Areas experiencing job growth, new infrastructure, or business expansions typically attract more visitors.
  • Housing Market Trends: Rising property values or rental demand can signal a healthy STR market but might also increase acquisition costs.

6. Leverage Data and Analytics Tools

Take advantage of STR analytics platforms to make data-driven decisions:

  • AirDNA: Offers insights into ADR, revenue potential, and occupancy trends.
  • Mashvisor: Provides a comparison of long-term and short-term rental profitability.
  • PriceLabs: Helps analyze pricing trends to optimize rates.

These tools help you assess market viability and forecast potential returns with greater accuracy.


Strategic Insights for Smart Investments

By researching market performance, understanding guest demographics, evaluating competition, and accounting for legal factors, you can make an informed decision about your STR investment. Combining local knowledge with advanced analytics ensures your property is positioned for success in a dynamic market.

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